{"id":16312,"date":"2023-09-13T16:28:57","date_gmt":"2023-09-13T21:28:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/whatsappmexico.com\/?p=16312"},"modified":"2023-09-13T21:29:10","modified_gmt":"2023-09-13T21:29:10","slug":"mexico-anda-suertudo-crecimiento-economico-sera-mayor-al-de-eu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/whatsappmexico.com\/?p=16312","title":{"rendered":"M\u00e9xico anda \u2018suertudo\u2019; crecimiento econ\u00f3mico ser\u00e1 mayor al de EU"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Los analistas atribuyen el mayor dinamismo de la econom\u00eda mexicana a la recuperaci\u00f3n tras la pandemia, el avance que ha registrado el consumo, adem\u00e1s del efecto del \u2018nearshoring\u2019.<\/h4>\n
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El\u00a0crecimiento econ\u00f3mico de M\u00e9xico<\/b>\u00a0superar\u00e1 nuevamente al de Estados Unidos este a\u00f1o y el siguiente, una racha que se ha observado desde el 2021 tras el rebote por la\u00a0crisis sanitaria del Covid-19<\/b>.<\/p>\n

Analistas atribuyen el\u00a0mayor dinamismo de la econom\u00eda mexicana\u00a0<\/b>a la recuperaci\u00f3n registrada tras la fuerte ca\u00edda durante la\u00a0pandemia<\/b>,\u00a0y posteriormente al\u00a0avance que ha registrado el consumo<\/b>, adem\u00e1s del efecto del\u00a0nearshoring<\/b><\/i>, factores que seguir\u00e1n beneficiando a la\u00a0actividad productiva<\/b>, mientras que en Estados Unidos se espera una p\u00e9rdida de dinamismo por la\u00a0restricci\u00f3n monetaria<\/b>.<\/p>\n

De confirmarse los pron\u00f3sticos, ser\u00edan cuatro a\u00f1os en los que el\u00a0crecimiento de la econom\u00eda mexicana<\/b>\u00a0ser\u00e1 mayor a la estadounidense, algo que no suced\u00eda desde 1990 a 1994, seg\u00fan los datos del INEGI y de la Oficina de An\u00e1lisis Econ\u00f3mico (BEA, en ingl\u00e9s).<\/p>\n

Hacienda prev\u00e9 que el\u00a0Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) de M\u00e9xico\u00a0<\/b>crecer\u00e1 en un rango entre 2.5 y 3.5 por ciento para 2023, as\u00ed como en 2024, mientras que\u00a0Estados Unidos<\/b>\u00a0anotar\u00eda una expansi\u00f3n de 2.0 y 1.8 por ciento, respectivamente.<\/p>\n

Impacta\u00a0nearshoring<\/i><\/h2>\n

Janneth Quiroz, directora de an\u00e1lisis econ\u00f3mico de Monex, atribuy\u00f3 las\u00a0mayores tasas de crecimiento en M\u00e9xico<\/b>\u00a0a la ca\u00edda m\u00e1s pronunciada, respecto a la que se dio en\u00a0Estados Unidos<\/b>\u00a0por la\u00a0pandemia<\/b>\u00a0<\/b>en 2020, por lo que hay un efecto estad\u00edstico favorable en estos a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n

A\u00f1adi\u00f3 que la relocalizaci\u00f3n ayudar\u00e1 a la\u00a0actividad nacional<\/b>\u00a0a crecer. \u201cHay un impacto positivo por la\u00a0materializaci\u00f3n del\u00a0<\/b>nearshoring<\/b><\/i>, en ese sentido, considerando que la econom\u00eda mexicana es m\u00e1s peque\u00f1a creo que s\u00ed podr\u00edamos seguir viendo este comportamiento hacia delante\u201d, dijo Quiroz.<\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s de la relocalizaci\u00f3n, desde Hacienda prev\u00e9n que el\u00a0crecimiento de 2024<\/b>\u00a0tenga detr\u00e1s un\u00a0consumo privado fuerte<\/b>\u00a0<\/b>y mayores niveles de\u00a0inversi\u00f3n p\u00fablica y privada<\/b>, algo que ya se ha empezado a observar este 2023.<\/p>\n

\u201cEstas inversiones tendr\u00e1n efectos positivos en la\u00a0reconfiguraci\u00f3n del comercio internacional\u00a0<\/b>con la llegada de una\u00a0mayor inversi\u00f3n extranjera y mayores oportunidades de empleo<\/b>\u201d, indic\u00f3 la dependencia en el Paquete Econ\u00f3mico de 2024.<\/p>\n

Tasas afectan a EU<\/h2>\n

Otro de los aspectos que tienen un rol relevante en el\u00a0crecimiento\u00a0<\/b>es el nivel de las\u00a0tasas de inter\u00e9s<\/b>, las cuales ya se encuentran en un registro restrictivo con el objetivo de controlar la\u00a0<\/b>inflaci\u00f3n<\/b>\u00a0<\/b>provocando un\u00a0enfriamiento\u00a0<\/b>en la actividad.<\/p>\n

No obstante, hay diferencias entre ambas econom\u00edas, ya que en Estados Unidos los\u00a0altos niveles de tasas de inter\u00e9s<\/b>\u00a0<\/b>se reflejan en mayor medida que en M\u00e9xico, debido a la\u00a0penetraci\u00f3n bancaria<\/b>.<\/p>\n

Analistas de Wells Fargo prev\u00e9n que las\u00a0elevadas tasas de inter\u00e9s<\/b>\u00a0<\/b>ejercer\u00e1n vientos en contra sobre la\u00a0<\/b>econom\u00eda<\/b>. \u201cIncluso si el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico no se vuelve negativo, Las\u00a0perspectivas de crecimiento\u00a0<\/b>en el primer semestre del pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o no parecen prometedoras\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3 la firma, que estima un\u00a0crecimiento\u00a0<\/b>de 2.2 por ciento en este a\u00f1o, y de apenas 0.5 por ciento en 2024.<\/p>\n

Quiroz agreg\u00f3 que \u201cel hecho de que en Estados Unidos el\u00a0sistema financiero\u00a0<\/b>sea m\u00e1s robusto implica que la\u00a0pol\u00edtica monetaria restrictiva\u00a0<\/b>tenga un impacto m\u00e1s directo sobre la\u00a0actividad econ\u00f3mica<\/b>, algo distinto para M\u00e9xico considerando que el\u00a0sistema financiero\u00a0<\/b>es m\u00e1s peque\u00f1o\u201d.<\/p>\n

Seguir\u00e1 dinamismo<\/h2>\n

El\u00a0economista en jefe de Rankia Latinoam\u00e9rica, Humberto Calzada,\u00a0<\/b>dijo que con la\u00a0relocalizaci\u00f3n M\u00e9xico\u00a0<\/b>ser\u00e1 el pa\u00eds que m\u00e1s se beneficiar\u00e1 de esta\u00a0estrategia de externalizaci\u00f3n<\/b>, la cual seguir\u00e1 atrayendo\u00a0<\/b>inversi\u00f3n<\/b>\u00a0al pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n

\u201cEl\u00a0nearshoring<\/b><\/i>\u00a0<\/i>puede generar las condiciones para crecimientos por arriba del 2 por ciento, debido a lo atractivo del pa\u00eds, sin embargo, el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o se elegir\u00e1 presidente en M\u00e9xico, y es uno de los focos a los que estar\u00e1 atento el mercado, si el nuevo gobierno genera condiciones favorables para la\u00a0mayor atracci\u00f3n de capitales<\/b>\u201d, dijo<\/p>\n

Un reporte del National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) destac\u00f3 el impacto que tendr\u00e1\u00a0M\u00e9xico<\/b>\u00a0hacia delante e incluso \u201caumentando su participaci\u00f3n en las\u00a0importaciones estadounidenses de repuestos para autom\u00f3viles<\/b>, as\u00ed como de productos de\u00a0vidrio, hierro y acero<\/b>\u201d.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Los analistas atribuyen el mayor dinamismo de la econom\u00eda mexicana a la recuperaci\u00f3n tras la pandemia, el avance que ha registrado el consumo, adem\u00e1s del efecto del \u2018nearshoring\u2019. El\u00a0crecimiento econ\u00f3mico de M\u00e9xico\u00a0superar\u00e1 nuevamente al de Estados Unidos este a\u00f1o y…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16314,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16312","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nacional"],"yoast_head":"\nM\u00e9xico anda \u2018suertudo\u2019; crecimiento econ\u00f3mico ser\u00e1 mayor al de EU -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/whatsappmexico.com\/?p=16312\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"M\u00e9xico anda \u2018suertudo\u2019; crecimiento econ\u00f3mico ser\u00e1 mayor al de EU -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Los analistas atribuyen el mayor dinamismo de la econom\u00eda mexicana a la recuperaci\u00f3n tras la pandemia, el avance que ha registrado el consumo, adem\u00e1s del efecto del \u2018nearshoring\u2019. 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